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Home Baseball

2025 ZiPS Projections: St. Louis Cardinals

January 27, 2025
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2025 ZiPS Projections: St. Louis Cardinals
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For the twenty first consecutive season, the ZiPS projection system is unleashing a full set of prognostications. For extra info on the ZiPS projections, please seek the advice of this 12 months’s introduction and MLB’s glossary entry. The group order is chosen by lot, and the penultimate group is the St. Louis Cardinals.

Batters

The 2024 St. Louis Cardinals skilled a little bit of a bounce again from the group’s worst season in many years, however in a 12 months the place it took 89 wins to seize the ultimate NL Wild Card spot, the Crimson Birds had been nonetheless effectively wanting having the ability to squeeze again into the playoffs. Whereas issues had been sunnier than they had been the 12 months earlier than, the Cardinals had been outscored on the season, and neither of the celebrities within the lineup, Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado, returned to their 2023 type. It doesn’t seem as if the Playing cards really feel like they’re on the precipice of an October return, as they’ve largely spent the offseason making an attempt to commerce Arenado.

May Arenado truly be underrated at this level? Whereas his offensive manufacturing has come down fairly a bit from its peak, his 149 wRC+ in 2022 was doubtless at all times a late-era outlier, and a 102 wRC+ is hardly awful for a 3rd baseman. He’s not a star with no resurgence on the plate, however he was no less than a superb participant in 2024, amassing 3.1 WAR because of excellent protection on the scorching nook. I believe the notion of Arenado’s 2024 is likely to be so much worse than his season truly was. Once I posted the depth chart graphic on social media, it led to a few conversations about ZiPS projecting a comeback season, despite the fact that the two.9 WAR it forecasts is under his 2024 quantity!

With two obvious exceptions, ZiPS largely thinks that the Playing cards are ample to good across the diamond. Masyn Winn initiatives because the lineup’s second-best participant, and although ZiPS isn’t loopy about Thomas Saggese, it likes Brendan Donovan sufficient to finish up with a superb second base WAR quantity, assuming the latter will get the plate appearances projected on our Depth Charts. The system initiatives that Willson Contreras will probably be adequate offensively that he could possibly be an affordable first baseman, and although it pulls again significantly on Iván Herrera’s rookie offense, the tandem of him and Pedro Pagés additionally appears strong.

The place ZiPS is sad is within the non-Lars Nootbaar parts of the outfield. In middle discipline, Victor Scott II’s protection isn’t sufficient to fully cancel out a bleak offensive projection, and the pc doesn’t see Michael Siani as offering a lot of a shove. Scott’s a bizarre one to challenge in that he truly hit fairly decently in Double-A in 2023, however he was completely horrific within the minors final 12 months, placing up a 59 wRC+. Word that that’s not the interpretation, however his precise quantity. Scott hit considerably higher in July after altering his stance, placing up a .711 OPS for the Triple-A Memphis Redbirds, however that trace of manufacturing disappeared within the majors and he earned a demotion in mid-September.

As for the opposite exception, Jordan Walker, ZiPS truly thinks he improved his protection considerably in 2024, to the purpose that he’s not a pure designated hitter, only a pretty awful proper fielder who may play if he hits. However that’s form of the issue. Walker now has about 500 PA of not hitting Triple-A pitchers. If Scott had a 93 wRC+ at Triple-A, it might be trigger for optimism, but it surely’s fully insufficient for somebody who is meant to be valued fully for his bat. Walker isn’t previous, and you may squint and nonetheless form of see his upside, however the odds are in opposition to him being an actual contributor in 2025.

Pitchers

I’m undecided why ZiPS is instantly reminded of a few knuckleballers, Phil Niekro and Tom Candiotti, when it appears at Sonny Grey, however eradicating them from the big cohort doesn’t change Grey’s projection, which makes him the favourite to characterize the Cardinals on the All-Star Sport this summer season. It’s exhausting to inform how critically the group actually thought-about buying and selling Grey, however he does have some fairly respectable worth with two years left on his contract. In fact, that assumes that his forearm tendinitis isn’t one thing darker, however actually, you may say that about each pitcher who has ever existed.

He initiatives as having decrease long-term upside than both Quinn Mathews or Tink Therefore, however ZiPS is more and more a fan of Michael McGreevy, who has good management and retains the ball down, which has worth in entrance of what ZiPS initiatives to be an above-average infield. Each Mathews and Therefore challenge as official starters proper now, with ZiPS somewhat extra assured in regards to the former for 2025. ZiPS isn’t anticipating fairly nearly as good a 12 months from Erick Fedde, but it surely stays snug with the again of St. Louis’ rotation, each when it comes to its non-horrendous high quality and its affordable depth.

It is likely to be a stretch to say that ZiPS sees the Cardinals bullpen as “Ryan Helsley and another guys,” however their hard-throwing nearer is the one reliever who the pc can summon any pleasure about. Helsley misplaced a few strikeouts per sport getting back from his 2023 accidents, however ZiPS isn’t fearful about that, as his velocity is unbroken and his contact fee is in step with that of a whiffier pitcher. Ryan Fernandez, JoJo Romero, and John King all challenge as a bit above common, and the pc would put Matthew Liberatore in that group as effectively. ZiPS is slightly meh on the low-leverage portion of the bullpen, and whereas the Cardinals may definitely add an arm or two there, this doesn’t seem like a group that intends to make a lot as a ripple in free company.

Not like most seasons, ZiPS does’t see the Cardinals as being in the identical tier because the Brewers and Cubs. St. Louis has higher projections than the Pirates and Reds, no less than for now, however even then, solely barely. It has been an extremely quiet offseason in St. Louis exterior of the fixed Arenado rumors, with the group doing nearly nothing, and we’re now only some weeks from the opening of spring coaching. The group’s greatest signing this winter? Ryan Vilade. Even chucking up the sponge can be extra attention-grabbing, and possibly extra useful than cosplaying as the warmth demise of the universe.

Ballpark graphic courtesy Eephus League. Depth charts constructed by the use of these listed right here. Measurement of participant names could be very roughly proportional to Depth Chart taking part in time. The ultimate group projections might differ significantly from our Depth Chart taking part in time.

Batters – Customary

Participant
B
Age
PO
PA
AB
R
H
2B
3B
HR
RBI
BB
SO
SB
CS

Nolan Arenado
R
34
3B
580
527
61
139
28
1
18
77
42
85
2
2

Masyn Winn
R
23
SS
639
584
87
148
29
5
14
71
44
116
13
4

Willson Contreras
R
33
C
422
362
50
86
19
0
16
52
44
107
4
2

Brendan Donovan
L
28
LF
584
514
69
144
26
2
12
63
53
76
4
4

Lars Nootbaar
L
27
RF
475
405
63
99
22
3
16
55
63
97
7
2

Alec Burleson
L
26
LF
545
501
63
139
23
2
17
73
34
74
6
2

Nolan Gorman
L
25
2B
511
461
67
106
19
0
27
75
46
170
6
1

Iván Herrera
R
25
C
386
335
47
84
16
2
8
42
43
84
5
1

Jimmy Crooks
L
23
C
409
367
42
90
18
2
7
46
32
100
2
0

Thomas Saggese
R
23
SS
585
541
70
132
24
4
15
73
28
151
7
3

César Prieto
L
26
3B
524
496
55
128
25
2
8
59
18
70
4
5

Leonardo Bernal
B
21
C
432
395
42
90
16
2
7
41
33
106
3
4

Bryan Torres
L
27
CF
507
450
62
123
22
2
1
44
43
89
18
8

Brandon Crawford
L
38
SS
316
281
34
64
13
1
8
34
28
78
2
1

Pedro Pagés
R
26
C
355
322
30
71
12
1
8
40
26
93
2
0

Matt Koperniak
L
27
LF
500
459
50
116
18
2
11
58
33
102
5
4

Victor Scott II
L
24
CF
532
480
58
107
15
5
7
47
33
106
32
6

Mike Antico
L
27
CF
511
468
60
106
19
3
10
54
32
129
23
4

Sammy Hernandez
R
21
C
371
330
41
64
12
2
5
39
25
84
1
1

Ryan Vilade
R
26
RF
489
443
52
105
18
3
8
51
36
119
11
5

Arquímedes Gamboa
B
27
SS
374
333
39
69
12
2
5
31
38
106
5
2

Jordan Walker
R
23
RF
589
536
57
131
27
3
19
71
42
136
6
3

Jose Barrero
R
27
SS
375
342
40
71
14
2
10
44
21
128
11
2

José Fermín
R
26
SS
321
279
40
64
11
1
5
34
29
39
9
3

Gavin Collins
R
29
C
212
191
19
41
7
0
5
24
13
44
0
0

Michael Siani
L
25
CF
459
409
52
86
12
3
5
36
38
115
21
6

Luken Baker
R
28
1B
480
425
46
90
17
0
21
66
47
132
1
0

Probability Sisco
L
30
C
129
116
12
20
5
0
3
14
9
45
0
0

Carlos Linarez
R
23
C
133
125
7
23
4
0
1
9
6
45
1
0

Matt Carpenter
L
39
DH
192
162
18
32
9
0
6
21
24
59
0
1

Chase Davis
L
23
CF
464
419
44
86
19
1
8
46
37
137
4
1

Alfonso Rivas III
L
28
1B
383
332
41
76
17
2
4
39
39
103
3
0

Chase Adkison
R
25
C
230
207
18
45
8
1
2
22
15
53
0
1

Chris Rotondo
R
26
RF
404
362
45
78
15
2
5
40
27
138
8
3

Jacob Buchberger
R
27
3B
426
392
46
85
12
3
6
38
30
114
7
4

Ramon Mendoza
R
24
2B
278
245
25
50
10
1
3
23
21
72
1
1

Dakota Harris
R
23
2B
363
333
38
77
16
0
6
40
13
89
4
3

Graysen Tarlow
R
23
C
89
79
5
14
2
0
1
6
8
24
0
0

Nathan Church
L
24
RF
522
478
60
112
18
1
4
47
29
70
13
4

Joshua Baez
R
22
RF
348
314
36
61
14
1
8
38
24
147
15
3

Noah Mendlinger
L
24
2B
422
374
41
89
15
1
1
39
29
62
3
4

Jeremy Rivas
R
22
SS
479
431
47
93
11
1
2
35
33
109
14
6

R.J. Yeager
R
26
1B
473
436
55
102
17
1
10
52
25
76
6
2

Matt Lloyd
L
29
DH
437
392
46
87
18
0
10
48
34
110
7
2

Brody Moore
R
24
SS
408
376
41
82
13
2
2
30
23
101
13
6

Anyelo Encarnacion
R
21
2B
343
307
38
59
11
1
5
28
28
122
5
3

Wade Stauss
L
26
C
129
109
8
18
4
0
1
12
11
59
0
0

Trey Paige
L
24
3B
395
356
41
68
14
3
1
29
30
119
3
1

Michael Curialle
R
24
3B
351
315
37
65
15
2
4
35
21
117
3
2

Zach Levenson
R
23
LF
309
277
28
51
11
1
6
31
25
84
4
2

Tre Richardson
R
23
2B
347
307
28
57
10
4
1
26
25
105
8
5

Miguel Villarroel
R
23
SS
428
405
44
92
16
2
2
36
13
110
16
3

Kade Kretzschmar
L
25
LF
348
311
33
67
9
3
1
30
26
84
3
2

Darlin Moquete
R
25
DH
312
286
40
58
8
1
8
32
17
87
7
3

Johnfrank Salazar
R
21
1B
338
311
29
68
13
0
3
30
18
59
0
1

Chandler Redmond
L
28
1B
425
385
39
77
13
1
10
43
35
161
2
1

Gained-Bin Cho
L
21
CF
457
411
45
85
13
3
3
37
31
153
10
7

William Sullivan
L
24
1B
169
154
13
26
4
0
2
16
11
64
1
1

Alex Iadisernia
L
24
LF
439
399
43
79
17
3
6
40
29
120
11
6

Miguel Ugueto
R
22
LF
251
239
22
49
10
2
2
20
7
60
5
3

Osvaldo Tovalin
L
25
1B
394
370
35
76
13
1
4
38
12
82
4
2

Brayden Jobert
L
24
RF
370
328
33
55
9
1
6
36
28
125
7
3

Batters – Superior

Participant
PA
BA
OBP
SLG
OPS+
ISO
BABIP
Def
WAR
wOBA
3YOPS+
RC

Nolan Arenado
580
.264
.321
.423
106
.159
.285
5
2.9
.321
102
73

Masyn Winn
639
.253
.307
.392
94
.139
.295
5
2.9
.304
97
75

Willson Contreras
422
.237
.341
.422
113
.185
.293
-2
2.6
.336
106
54

Brendan Donovan
584
.280
.360
.408
115
.128
.310
2
2.5
.339
113
78

Lars Nootbaar
475
.244
.344
.432
116
.188
.284
4
2.3
.337
114
62

Alec Burleson
545
.277
.325
.433
110
.156
.297
2
2.0
.328
111
73

Nolan Gorman
511
.230
.301
.447
106
.217
.300
-4
1.9
.322
109
64

Iván Herrera
386
.251
.342
.382
103
.131
.312
-2
1.9
.321
102
45

Jimmy Crooks
409
.245
.314
.363
89
.117
.320
4
1.9
.298
93
42

Thomas Saggese
585
.244
.291
.386
88
.142
.312
-1
1.6
.295
92
64

César Prieto
524
.258
.292
.365
83
.107
.287
8
1.3
.287
84
56

Leonardo Bernal
432
.228
.289
.331
74
.104
.294
7
1.3
.276
79
40

Bryan Torres
507
.273
.336
.337
90
.064
.338
-2
1.1
.300
89
58

Brandon Crawford
316
.228
.304
.367
87
.139
.287
2
1.0
.293
78
32

Pedro Pagés
355
.220
.282
.338
73
.118
.285
4
1.0
.274
73
31

Matt Koperniak
500
.253
.308
.373
90
.120
.304
6
1.0
.299
91
55

Victor Scott II
532
.223
.280
.318
68
.096
.272
5
0.7
.265
71
52

Mike Antico
511
.226
.283
.344
75
.118
.292
1
0.7
.277
77
52

Sammy Hernandez
371
.194
.274
.288
58
.094
.245
7
0.6
.255
62
27

Ryan Vilade
489
.237
.299
.345
80
.108
.306
8
0.6
.284
81
50

Arquímedes Gamboa
374
.207
.292
.301
67
.093
.289
3
0.6
.268
67
31

Jordan Walker
589
.244
.306
.412
99
.168
.294
-5
0.5
.312
102
70

Jose Barrero
375
.208
.270
.348
72
.140
.299
0
0.4
.272
72
35

José Fermín
321
.229
.315
.329
82
.100
.251
-4
0.4
.290
84
32

Gavin Collins
212
.214
.280
.329
70
.115
.253
-1
0.2
.271
69
18

Michael Siani
459
.210
.281
.291
61
.081
.280
4
0.2
.258
64
40

Luken Baker
480
.212
.292
.400
92
.188
.254
-1
0.1
.300
94
50

Probability Sisco
129
.173
.256
.294
54
.121
.252
2
0.1
.249
54
9

Carlos Linarez
133
.185
.227
.241
32
.056
.280
5
0.0
.210
33
7

Matt Carpenter
192
.197
.308
.363
88
.166
.267
0
0.0
.298
80
19

Chase Davis
464
.205
.276
.312
65
.107
.284
3
0.0
.261
70
37

Alfonso Rivas III
383
.229
.323
.328
84
.099
.320
-1
0.0
.294
83
36

Chase Adkison
230
.217
.280
.294
62
.077
.283
0
0.0
.258
64
18

Chris Rotondo
404
.215
.287
.309
68
.094
.333
6
-0.1
.268
70
35

Jacob Buchberger
426
.217
.277
.309
64
.092
.290
3
-0.1
.260
66
36

Ramon Mendoza
278
.204
.275
.290
59
.086
.277
2
-0.1
.255
61
20

Dakota Harris
363
.231
.276
.333
70
.102
.298
-1
-0.2
.268
72
33

Graysen Tarlow
89
.176
.258
.239
41
.063
.239
0
-0.2
.230
39
5

Nathan Church
522
.234
.289
.301
66
.067
.267
8
-0.2
.263
68
46

Joshua Baez
348
.194
.265
.322
64
.128
.334
3
-0.3
.261
73
31

Noah Mendlinger
422
.238
.312
.292
71
.054
.283
-5
-0.4
.275
73
36

Jeremy Rivas
479
.216
.277
.260
52
.044
.284
2
-0.4
.245
57
37

R.J. Yeager
473
.234
.286
.346
76
.112
.263
2
-0.4
.278
77
45

Matt Lloyd
437
.222
.291
.345
78
.123
.283
0
-0.5
.280
77
41

Brody Moore
408
.218
.267
.279
54
.061
.293
-1
-0.6
.245
55
33

Anyelo Encarnacion
343
.192
.266
.284
55
.091
.301
0
-0.6
.248
62
26

Wade Stauss
129
.165
.282
.229
46
.064
.346
-5
-0.7
.244
44
7

Trey Paige
395
.191
.258
.256
45
.065
.284
5
-0.7
.233
48
24

Michael Curialle
351
.206
.277
.304
63
.098
.314
-4
-0.7
.261
64
28

Zach Levenson
309
.184
.262
.296
57
.112
.241
1
-0.9
.251
64
23

Tre Richardson
347
.186
.262
.254
46
.068
.279
1
-0.9
.235
51
24

Miguel Villarroel
428
.227
.257
.291
54
.064
.307
-4
-1.0
.241
57
35

Kade Kretzschmar
348
.215
.289
.273
59
.058
.292
0
-1.0
.256
63
26

Darlin Moquete
312
.203
.253
.322
60
.119
.262
0
-1.1
.253
63
26

Johnfrank Salazar
338
.219
.269
.290
57
.071
.261
2
-1.1
.248
63
25

Chandler Redmond
425
.200
.271
.317
64
.117
.314
1
-1.1
.261
65
34

Gained-Bin Cho
457
.207
.270
.275
54
.068
.321
-2
-1.2
.246
61
35

William Sullivan
169
.169
.243
.234
35
.065
.273
-2
-1.3
.220
44
9

Alex Iadisernia
439
.198
.263
.301
58
.103
.268
1
-1.3
.252
63
36

Miguel Ugueto
251
.205
.231
.289
45
.084
.266
-1
-1.5
.227
49
18

Osvaldo Tovalin
394
.206
.247
.279
47
.073
.254
3
-1.7
.235
52
27

Brayden Jobert
370
.168
.254
.256
44
.088
.249
-2
-1.9
.234
48
24

Batters – Prime Close to-Age Offensive Comps

Batters – eightieth/twentieth Percentiles

Participant
eightieth BA
eightieth OBP
eightieth SLG
eightieth OPS+
eightieth WAR
twentieth BA
twentieth OBP
twentieth SLG
twentieth OPS+
twentieth WAR

Nolan Arenado
.295
.350
.470
127
4.3
.237
.295
.375
86
1.4

Masyn Winn
.280
.334
.444
113
4.4
.230
.282
.348
75
1.4

Willson Contreras
.262
.367
.467
131
3.6
.208
.317
.365
92
1.6

Brendan Donovan
.304
.386
.450
133
3.8
.248
.333
.364
96
1.1

Lars Nootbaar
.270
.369
.493
137
3.4
.220
.319
.380
97
1.1

Alec Burleson
.307
.355
.485
130
3.4
.249
.295
.385
91
0.6

Nolan Gorman
.259
.330
.511
129
3.4
.202
.270
.388
84
0.5

Iván Herrera
.281
.369
.440
124
2.9
.222
.310
.341
83
0.9

Jimmy Crooks
.273
.339
.421
112
3.0
.217
.283
.322
71
1.0

Thomas Saggese
.272
.318
.442
108
3.0
.219
.269
.343
70
0.2

César Prieto
.286
.318
.413
103
2.6
.225
.262
.321
64
0.0

Leonardo Bernal
.259
.323
.383
97
2.5
.198
.261
.291
56
0.3

Bryan Torres
.303
.369
.378
109
2.4
.241
.304
.297
70
-0.1

Brandon Crawford
.257
.332
.419
109
1.9
.196
.272
.315
64
0.2

Pedro Pagés
.251
.310
.385
92
1.8
.189
.251
.292
54
0.1

Matt Koperniak
.283
.339
.421
110
2.1
.226
.281
.329
71
-0.2

Victor Scott II
.248
.304
.359
84
1.8
.195
.259
.278
51
-0.5

Mike Antico
.250
.306
.382
91
1.7
.201
.257
.303
57
-0.5

Sammy Hernandez
.233
.307
.342
83
1.7
.165
.243
.244
41
-0.2

Ryan Vilade
.262
.326
.386
97
1.6
.216
.277
.303
64
-0.4

Arquímedes Gamboa
.232
.320
.347
86
1.4
.174
.262
.260
49
-0.3

Jordan Walker
.271
.333
.463
118
1.9
.221
.278
.367
80
-0.9

Jose Barrero
.234
.295
.402
94
1.5
.179
.240
.296
51
-0.5

José Fermín
.258
.343
.376
101
1.2
.205
.288
.287
65
-0.3

Gavin Collins
.243
.307
.386
93
0.8
.184
.249
.280
50
-0.4

Michael Siani
.237
.305
.331
78
1.1
.182
.254
.257
46
-0.8

Luken Baker
.235
.311
.453
109
1.0
.188
.268
.350
75
-0.9

Probability Sisco
.202
.286
.357
78
0.4
.151
.227
.248
35
-0.2

Carlos Linarez
.221
.262
.283
53
0.4
.156
.204
.198
14
-0.3

Matt Carpenter
.222
.340
.423
108
0.5
.168
.277
.303
64
-0.5

Chase Davis
.231
.300
.354
82
1.0
.177
.251
.268
46
-1.0

Alfonso Rivas III
.257
.351
.375
103
0.9
.202
.294
.289
65
-1.0

Chase Adkison
.248
.312
.342
83
0.6
.184
.253
.253
44
-0.6

Chris Rotondo
.250
.318
.359
89
1.0
.189
.260
.270
49
-1.0

Jacob Buchberger
.241
.303
.355
83
0.9
.190
.252
.274
48
-0.9

Ramon Mendoza
.236
.308
.341
81
0.7
.178
.251
.253
43
-0.7

Dakota Harris
.257
.301
.371
88
0.7
.206
.252
.293
54
-0.9

Graysen Tarlow
.206
.294
.277
59
0.0
.148
.229
.202
23
-0.4

Nathan Church
.262
.316
.342
84
0.9
.207
.263
.267
50
-1.3

Joshua Baez
.230
.294
.376
86
0.7
.171
.237
.274
45
-1.2

Noah Mendlinger
.264
.338
.325
86
0.5
.209
.286
.257
55
-1.2

Jeremy Rivas
.245
.307
.296
69
0.7
.194
.255
.234
40
-1.2

R.J. Yeager
.263
.314
.395
96
0.7
.208
.261
.305
59
-1.6

Matt Lloyd
.249
.318
.395
97
0.7
.193
.261
.299
56
-1.6

Brody Moore
.240
.294
.311
69
0.2
.189
.243
.247
38
-1.4

Anyelo Encarnacion
.219
.299
.337
77
0.3
.163
.240
.238
34
-1.5

Wade Stauss
.203
.317
.276
69
-0.3
.136
.252
.189
28
-1.0

Trey Paige
.223
.286
.300
64
0.2
.165
.230
.222
28
-1.6

Michael Curialle
.235
.302
.349
80
0.0
.182
.249
.268
46
-1.5

Zach Levenson
.214
.290
.349
77
-0.1
.161
.238
.259
41
-1.5

Tre Richardson
.212
.289
.294
65
-0.1
.158
.235
.218
28
-1.7

Miguel Villarroel
.255
.284
.326
70
0.0
.199
.230
.253
36
-1.9

Kade Kretzschmar
.242
.314
.310
74
-0.4
.189
.260
.237
42
-1.8

Darlin Moquete
.231
.282
.375
80
-0.2
.177
.228
.279
44
-1.8

Johnfrank Salazar
.249
.297
.331
76
-0.3
.194
.240
.255
39
-1.9

Chandler Redmond
.230
.300
.366
83
-0.1
.174
.243
.276
45
-2.1

Gained-Bin Cho
.239
.298
.318
74
-0.1
.182
.243
.243
38
-2.1

William Sullivan
.195
.268
.281
51
-1.0
.144
.214
.198
17
-1.7

Alex Iadisernia
.225
.289
.344
76
-0.4
.175
.240
.262
42
-2.2

Miguel Ugueto
.237
.261
.334
65
-0.8
.178
.202
.248
26
-2.1

Osvaldo Tovalin
.232
.275
.317
65
-0.8
.179
.220
.238
29
-2.7

Brayden Jobert
.193
.281
.293
60
-1.1
.145
.228
.219
28
-2.7

Batters – Platoon Splits

Participant
BA vs. L
OBP vs. L
SLG vs. L
BA vs. R
OBP vs. R
SLG vs. R

Nolan Arenado
.273
.338
.439
.260
.315
.418

Masyn Winn
.263
.323
.427
.248
.297
.372

Willson Contreras
.248
.356
.455
.234
.336
.410

Brendan Donovan
.268
.349
.396
.285
.365
.414

Lars Nootbaar
.239
.331
.389
.247
.349
.449

Alec Burleson
.267
.314
.398
.282
.331
.450

Nolan Gorman
.222
.289
.393
.233
.307
.469

Iván Herrera
.254
.349
.389
.249
.338
.378

Jimmy Crooks
.230
.297
.320
.251
.320
.378

Thomas Saggese
.247
.297
.388
.242
.289
.386

César Prieto
.250
.285
.346
.262
.294
.374

Leonardo Bernal
.232
.289
.336
.226
.290
.330

Bryan Torres
.256
.317
.318
.280
.345
.346

Brandon Crawford
.228
.295
.342
.228
.307
.376

Pedro Pagés
.226
.291
.348
.217
.278
.333

Matt Koperniak
.245
.297
.357
.256
.313
.380

Victor Scott II
.214
.268
.275
.226
.285
.335

Mike Antico
.220
.275
.312
.229
.287
.358

Sammy Hernandez
.204
.278
.327
.190
.273
.272

Ryan Vilade
.244
.307
.355
.232
.294
.339

Arquímedes Gamboa
.202
.281
.312
.210
.296
.295

Jordan Walker
.250
.316
.438
.241
.300
.398

Jose Barrero
.214
.275
.365
.204
.266
.338

José Fermín
.224
.311
.318
.233
.318
.337

Gavin Collins
.225
.291
.352
.208
.273
.317

Michael Siani
.209
.278
.288
.211
.283
.293

Luken Baker
.214
.298
.417
.210
.287
.389

Probability Sisco
.167
.242
.300
.174
.260
.291

Carlos Linarez
.190
.227
.214
.181
.225
.253

Matt Carpenter
.182
.288
.295
.203
.317
.390

Chase Davis
.197
.264
.291
.209
.281
.321

Alfonso Rivas III
.209
.298
.308
.237
.332
.336

Chase Adkison
.227
.288
.318
.213
.277
.284

Chris Rotondo
.219
.297
.333
.214
.282
.298

Jacob Buchberger
.232
.298
.326
.209
.265
.299

Ramon Mendoza
.205
.283
.284
.204
.272
.293

Dakota Harris
.233
.282
.340
.230
.273
.330

Graysen Tarlow
.185
.267
.222
.173
.254
.250

Nathan Church
.233
.286
.295
.235
.290
.304

Joshua Baez
.198
.268
.337
.192
.264
.315

Noah Mendlinger
.225
.298
.265
.243
.317
.301

Jeremy Rivas
.221
.283
.269
.213
.275
.255

R.J. Yeager
.244
.299
.356
.229
.280
.342

Matt Lloyd
.211
.278
.307
.227
.296
.360

Brody Moore
.215
.267
.289
.220
.267
.275

Anyelo Encarnacion
.198
.277
.297
.189
.260
.277

Wade Stauss
.152
.282
.182
.171
.284
.250

Trey Paige
.188
.248
.240
.192
.262
.262

Michael Curialle
.204
.275
.306
.207
.279
.304

Zach Levenson
.186
.268
.302
.183
.259
.293

Tre Richardson
.184
.266
.235
.187
.260
.263

Miguel Villarroel
.227
.259
.305
.227
.256
.285

Kade Kretzschmar
.200
.274
.247
.221
.295
.283

Darlin Moquete
.210
.266
.330
.199
.246
.317

Johnfrank Salazar
.229
.281
.295
.214
.262
.286

Chandler Redmond
.191
.254
.278
.204
.278
.333

Gained-Bin Cho
.195
.258
.265
.211
.275
.279

William Sullivan
.163
.250
.256
.171
.240
.225

Alex Iadisernia
.187
.254
.271
.202
.266
.312

Miguel Ugueto
.213
.241
.320
.201
.227
.274

Osvaldo Tovalin
.200
.252
.261
.208
.245
.286

Brayden Jobert
.169
.257
.225
.167
.253
.268

Pitchers – Customary

Participant
T
Age
W
L
ERA
G
GS
IP
H
ER
HR
BB
SO

Sonny Grey
R
35
11
7
3.43
26
26
149.7
129
57
17
41
156

Michael McGreevy
R
24
9
8
3.99
28
27
153.3
155
68
18
41
108

Andre Pallante
R
26
7
7
3.82
36
18
117.7
115
50
9
47
87

Quinn Mathews
L
24
6
6
4.05
25
25
126.7
115
57
15
46
122

Ryan Helsley
R
30
7
3
2.77
58
0
61.7
45
19
5
22
75

Erick Fedde
R
32
8
9
4.21
26
26
143.3
143
67
21
45
129

Drew Rom
L
25
5
5
3.98
18
17
83.7
80
37
9
29
73

Tink Therefore
R
22
5
5
4.20
26
26
98.7
95
46
13
34
83

Kyle Gibson
R
37
7
8
4.47
25
25
139.0
141
69
18
55
116

Gordon Graceffo
R
25
7
9
4.42
25
24
124.3
126
61
16
41
86

Lance Lynn
R
38
6
8
4.44
23
23
125.7
125
62
19
46
115

Matthew Liberatore
L
25
6
5
4.15
43
15
102.0
96
47
12
38
93

Steven Matz
L
34
4
4
4.10
21
16
83.3
86
38
10
27
73

Miles Mikolas
R
36
7
10
4.63
25
25
140.0
151
72
21
28
95

Sem Robberse
R
23
5
5
4.41
21
19
100.0
100
49
13
35
78

Zack Thompson
L
27
5
6
4.27
26
18
92.7
86
44
11
44
91

Max Rajcic
R
23
8
11
4.62
24
23
120.7
126
62
17
37
84

Alex Cornwell
L
26
5
5
4.50
22
15
90.0
97
45
12
26
62

Packy Naughton
L
29
2
2
3.71
20
8
43.7
43
18
4
12
38

Adam Kloffenstein
R
24
5
5
4.61
20
19
95.7
96
49
12
41
74

Victor Santos
R
24
6
7
4.52
28
14
93.7
95
47
11
28
62

John King
L
30
4
3
3.58
53
1
60.3
63
24
5
15
39

JoJo Romero
L
28
5
4
3.60
57
0
55.0
49
22
6
18
55

Tekoah Roby
R
23
3
4
4.48
16
16
64.3
65
32
9
20
49

Ryan Fernandez
R
27
4
3
3.71
53
0
60.7
55
25
6
23
60

Roddery Muñoz
R
25
6
8
4.84
26
21
109.7
108
59
18
49
93

Ian Bedell
R
25
3
3
4.82
21
18
93.3
94
50
14
36
71

Kyle Leahy
R
28
4
4
4.39
39
6
84.0
85
41
10
32
64

Riley O’Brien
R
30
3
3
4.44
29
7
50.7
46
25
6
27
51

Zane Mills
R
24
4
6
4.80
26
10
80.7
89
43
11
25
47

Keynan Middleton
R
31
2
1
3.93
39
0
36.7
33
16
5
15
39

Ryan Loutos
R
26
3
2
4.14
46
0
58.7
58
27
6
23
49

Chris Roycroft
R
28
5
5
4.19
53
0
68.7
66
32
7
32
57

Wilfredo Pereira
R
26
4
6
5.03
26
13
91.3
98
51
13
35
58

Oddanier Mosqueda
L
26
4
3
4.33
49
1
60.3
54
29
7
29
58

Cooper Hjerpe
L
24
3
4
5.11
17
17
56.3
52
32
9
30
53

Bailey Horn
L
27
4
4
4.50
41
2
54.0
52
27
7
28
49

Nick Raquet
L
29
4
6
4.78
32
5
75.3
80
40
10
31
53

Matt Svanson
R
26
3
4
4.55
45
1
59.3
61
30
7
21
43

Jacob Bosiokovic
R
31
3
3
4.47
38
0
46.3
44
23
6
23
43

Benito Garcia
R
25
3
3
4.65
30
1
60.0
65
31
8
16
37

Josh James
R
32
1
0
4.87
21
1
20.3
19
11
2
14
18

Ryan Shreve
R
27
4
4
4.55
36
0
63.3
66
32
8
24
45

Andre Granillo
R
25
4
5
4.63
45
0
58.3
55
30
8
31
55

Jack Ralston
R
27
3
3
4.71
34
1
49.7
46
26
6
30
47

Michael Gomez
R
28
3
4
4.61
38
0
54.7
53
28
6
25
42

Nathanael Heredia
L
24
2
3
5.48
34
1
44.3
43
27
5
32
35

Andrew Marrero
R
25
3
4
5.24
37
0
46.3
45
27
7
27
42

Leonardo Taveras
R
26
2
3
5.26
39
0
53.0
51
31
7
35
46

Edwin Nunez
R
23
3
5
6.00
27
12
69.0
71
46
11
42
48

Pitchers – Superior

Participant
IP
Okay/9
BB/9
HR/9
BB%
Okay%
BABIP
ERA+
3ERA+
FIP
ERA-
WAR

Sonny Grey
149.7
9.4
2.5
1.0
6.7%
25.4%
.284
120
112
3.49
84
2.9

Michael McGreevy
153.3
6.3
2.4
1.1
6.3%
16.7%
.287
103
105
4.14
97
2.1

Andre Pallante
117.7
6.7
3.6
0.7
9.1%
16.9%
.292
107
108
3.99
93
1.6

Quinn Mathews
126.7
8.7
3.3
1.1
8.6%
22.7%
.287
101
104
4.07
99
1.6

Ryan Helsley
61.7
10.9
3.2
0.7
8.8%
29.9%
.274
148
143
2.87
68
1.6

Erick Fedde
143.3
8.1
2.8
1.3
7.4%
21.1%
.295
98
94
4.29
103
1.6

Drew Rom
83.7
7.9
3.1
1.0
8.1%
20.3%
.292
103
106
4.05
97
1.1

Tink Therefore
98.7
7.6
3.1
1.2
8.0%
19.6%
.285
98
101
4.30
102
1.1

Kyle Gibson
139.0
7.5
3.6
1.2
9.1%
19.1%
.297
92
84
4.49
109
1.1

Gordon Graceffo
124.3
6.2
3.0
1.2
7.6%
16.0%
.284
93
97
4.55
108
1.1

Lance Lynn
125.7
8.2
3.3
1.4
8.5%
21.2%
.295
92
84
4.55
108
1.0

Matthew Liberatore
102.0
8.2
3.4
1.1
8.7%
21.2%
.290
99
103
4.18
101
0.9

Steven Matz
83.3
7.9
2.9
1.1
7.5%
20.3%
.308
100
92
4.07
100
0.9

Miles Mikolas
140.0
6.1
1.8
1.4
4.8%
16.1%
.293
89
83
4.48
113
0.9

Sem Robberse
100.0
7.0
3.2
1.2
8.1%
18.1%
.289
93
99
4.45
107
0.9

Zack Thompson
92.7
8.8
4.3
1.1
10.8%
22.4%
.293
96
98
4.34
104
0.9

Max Rajcic
120.7
6.3
2.8
1.3
7.1%
16.1%
.288
89
93
4.74
113
0.8

Alex Cornwell
90.0
6.2
2.6
1.2
6.6%
15.9%
.297
91
94
4.53
110
0.7

Packy Naughton
43.7
7.8
2.5
0.8
6.5%
20.7%
.302
111
112
3.52
90
0.7

Adam Kloffenstein
95.7
7.0
3.9
1.1
9.6%
17.4%
.290
89
94
4.83
112
0.7

Victor Santos
93.7
6.0
2.7
1.1
7.0%
15.6%
.284
91
96
4.41
110
0.7

John King
60.3
5.8
2.2
0.7
5.9%
15.2%
.297
115
113
3.81
87
0.6

JoJo Romero
55.0
9.0
2.9
1.0
7.8%
23.8%
.289
114
114
3.74
88
0.5

Tekoah Roby
64.3
6.9
2.8
1.3
7.2%
17.8%
.287
92
98
4.55
109
0.5

Ryan Fernandez
60.7
8.9
3.4
0.9
8.9%
23.3%
.293
111
113
3.67
90
0.5

Roddery Muñoz
109.7
7.6
4.0
1.5
10.1%
19.2%
.283
85
90
5.12
118
0.4

Ian Bedell
93.3
6.8
3.5
1.4
8.9%
17.5%
.284
85
89
5.02
117
0.4

Kyle Leahy
84.0
6.9
3.4
1.1
8.7%
17.4%
.292
93
95
4.45
107
0.3

Riley O’Brien
50.7
9.1
4.8
1.1
12.0%
22.7%
.290
92
92
4.60
108
0.3

Zane Mills
80.7
5.2
2.8
1.2
7.1%
13.4%
.293
86
91
4.86
117
0.2

Keynan Middleton
36.7
9.6
3.7
1.2
9.5%
24.7%
.289
105
104
4.13
96
0.2

Ryan Loutos
58.7
7.5
3.5
0.9
9.0%
19.1%
.297
99
101
4.12
101
0.1

Chris Roycroft
68.7
7.5
4.2
0.9
10.5%
18.8%
.291
98
98
4.42
102
0.1

Wilfredo Pereira
91.3
5.7
3.4
1.3
8.7%
14.4%
.289
82
84
5.07
122
0.1

Oddanier Mosqueda
60.3
8.7
4.3
1.0
11.0%
22.1%
.283
95
97
4.60
105
0.0

Cooper Hjerpe
56.3
8.5
4.8
1.4
12.0%
21.2%
.277
80
86
5.29
125
0.0

Bailey Horn
54.0
8.2
4.7
1.2
11.7%
20.4%
.292
91
94
4.72
110
0.0

Nick Raquet
75.3
6.3
3.7
1.2
9.3%
15.8%
.295
86
86
4.89
116
0.0

Matt Svanson
59.3
6.5
3.2
1.1
8.1%
16.7%
.293
90
94
4.63
111
0.0

Jacob Bosiokovic
46.3
8.4
4.5
1.2
11.0%
20.6%
.290
92
89
4.69
109
-0.1

Benito Garcia
60.0
5.6
2.4
1.2
6.2%
14.4%
.292
88
92
4.68
113
-0.1

Josh James
20.3
8.0
6.2
0.9
14.6%
18.8%
.288
84
79
5.05
119
-0.1

Ryan Shreve
63.3
6.4
3.4
1.1
8.7%
16.2%
.293
90
92
4.58
111
-0.1

Andre Granillo
58.3
8.5
4.8
1.2
11.7%
20.8%
.288
89
93
4.72
113
-0.2

Jack Ralston
49.7
8.5
5.4
1.1
13.0%
20.3%
.288
87
90
4.79
115
-0.2

Michael Gomez
54.7
6.9
4.1
1.0
10.4%
17.4%
.285
89
90
4.88
112
-0.2

Nathanael Heredia
44.3
7.1
6.5
1.0
15.2%
16.7%
.286
75
80
5.64
134
-0.5

Andrew Marrero
46.3
8.2
5.2
1.4
12.6%
19.5%
.288
78
83
5.47
128
-0.5

Leonardo Taveras
53.0
7.8
5.9
1.2
14.2%
18.6%
.288
78
80
5.48
128
-0.6

Edwin Nunez
69.0
6.3
5.5
1.4
12.9%
14.8%
.280
68
74
6.21
146
-0.7

Pitchers – Prime Close to-Age Comps

Pitchers – Splits and Percentiles

Participant
BA vs. L
OBP vs. L
SLG vs. L
BA vs. R
OBP vs. R
SLG vs. R
eightieth WAR
twentieth WAR
eightieth ERA
twentieth ERA

Sonny Grey
.223
.283
.363
.231
.283
.372
3.8
1.8
2.86
4.09

Michael McGreevy
.274
.336
.462
.241
.273
.359
2.9
1.1
3.56
4.56

Andre Pallante
.236
.306
.322
.263
.337
.406
2.3
0.9
3.40
4.36

Quinn Mathews
.230
.318
.370
.239
.308
.390
2.6
0.8
3.51
4.63

Ryan Helsley
.206
.281
.324
.194
.257
.298
2.3
0.7
2.07
3.87

Erick Fedde
.254
.314
.428
.254
.308
.429
2.4
0.5
3.71
4.94

Drew Rom
.225
.292
.343
.256
.325
.413
1.7
0.5
3.46
4.55

Tink Therefore
.249
.316
.396
.247
.305
.419
1.8
0.5
3.65
4.75

Kyle Gibson
.267
.344
.429
.247
.313
.411
1.9
0.1
3.92
5.23

Gordon Graceffo
.262
.331
.444
.254
.307
.402
1.8
0.4
4.00
4.90

Lance Lynn
.265
.348
.466
.243
.298
.402
1.8
0.1
3.78
5.27

Matthew Liberatore
.225
.288
.308
.251
.329
.429
1.7
0.2
3.58
4.74

Steven Matz
.269
.341
.385
.258
.313
.425
1.4
0.2
3.58
4.94

Miles Mikolas
.279
.320
.461
.261
.295
.436
1.7
0.0
4.12
5.29

Sem Robberse
.246
.329
.421
.263
.310
.411
1.5
0.2
3.91
5.03

Zack Thompson
.236
.328
.349
.242
.330
.409
1.6
0.1
3.71
5.00

Max Rajcic
.262
.338
.433
.264
.313
.439
1.5
0.1
4.14
5.12

Alex Cornwell
.265
.318
.429
.271
.325
.439
1.2
0.1
4.05
5.09

Packy Naughton
.214
.254
.304
.270
.325
.426
1.0
0.3
3.12
4.52

Adam Kloffenstein
.262
.355
.437
.249
.326
.394
1.2
0.1
4.19
5.16

Victor Santos
.249
.312
.403
.266
.317
.415
1.2
0.1
4.03
5.08

John King
.238
.287
.300
.277
.322
.428
1.0
0.2
3.08
4.06

JoJo Romero
.200
.264
.277
.248
.317
.421
1.1
-0.1
2.86
4.40

Tekoah Roby
.239
.311
.367
.271
.321
.465
0.9
0.0
3.95
5.19

Ryan Fernandez
.238
.328
.406
.235
.287
.341
1.0
-0.1
3.09
4.45

Roddery Muñoz
.267
.349
.485
.238
.322
.396
1.1
-0.3
4.35
5.40

Ian Bedell
.266
.349
.467
.247
.320
.404
1.0
-0.2
4.30
5.39

Kyle Leahy
.248
.325
.393
.263
.325
.425
0.8
-0.2
3.89
4.99

Riley O’Brien
.238
.354
.393
.234
.333
.378
0.8
-0.2
3.67
5.28

Zane Mills
.292
.352
.465
.261
.315
.428
0.7
-0.3
4.33
5.37

Keynan Middleton
.242
.329
.419
.228
.295
.392
0.5
-0.2
3.15
5.06

Ryan Loutos
.255
.336
.402
.250
.312
.383
0.5
-0.3
3.62
4.76

Chris Roycroft
.272
.370
.416
.225
.302
.352
0.5
-0.5
3.72
4.94

Wilfredo Pereira
.277
.353
.446
.261
.326
.437
0.5
-0.5
4.58
5.57

Oddanier Mosqueda
.193
.306
.301
.257
.355
.426
0.5
-0.5
3.70
5.08

Cooper Hjerpe
.238
.347
.317
.240
.344
.468
0.5
-0.5
4.51
5.84

Bailey Horn
.229
.313
.386
.257
.352
.421
0.5
-0.4
3.91
5.11

Nick Raquet
.281
.358
.438
.260
.333
.431
0.4
-0.6
4.31
5.43

Matt Svanson
.274
.352
.463
.252
.323
.374
0.4
-0.4
4.02
5.13

Jacob Bosiokovic
.271
.347
.435
.221
.330
.379
0.4
-0.4
3.77
5.18

Benito Garcia
.294
.345
.486
.252
.308
.389
0.3
-0.5
4.04
5.27

Josh James
.243
.391
.378
.238
.340
.357
0.1
-0.4
4.17
6.20

Ryan Shreve
.264
.339
.436
.262
.318
.404
0.3
-0.6
4.00
5.14

Andre Granillo
.276
.390
.469
.219
.289
.359
0.3
-0.6
3.98
5.28

Jack Ralston
.239
.352
.402
.240
.342
.380
0.3
-0.6
4.09
5.51

Michael Gomez
.253
.357
.411
.246
.338
.381
0.2
-0.7
4.07
5.33

Nathanael Heredia
.255
.379
.345
.246
.384
.424
-0.2
-1.0
4.89
6.41

Andrew Marrero
.256
.389
.449
.243
.342
.408
-0.2
-0.9
4.68
5.96

Leonardo Taveras
.271
.398
.438
.227
.344
.391
-0.3
-1.1
4.73
6.00

Edwin Nunez
.269
.385
.479
.253
.376
.429
-0.3
-1.3
5.47
6.84

Gamers are listed with their most up-to-date groups wherever potential. This consists of gamers who’re unsigned or have retired, gamers who will miss 2025 as a result of damage, and gamers who had been launched in 2024. So sure, when you see Joe Schmoe, who give up baseball again in August to type a Norwegian Ukulele Dixieland Jazz band that solely covers songs by The Smiths, he’s nonetheless listed right here deliberately. ZiPS is assuming a league with an ERA of 4.11.

Hitters are ranked by zWAR, which is to say, WAR values as calculated by me, Dan Szymborski, whose surname is spelled with a z. WAR values would possibly differ barely from those who seem within the full launch of ZiPS. Lastly, I’ll advise anybody in opposition to — and would possibly karate chop anybody responsible of — merely including up WAR totals on a depth chart to provide projected group WAR. It is very important do not forget that ZiPS is agnostic about taking part in time, and has no details about, for instance, how shortly a group will name up a prospect or what veteran has fallen into disfavor.

As at all times, incorrect projections are both brought on by misinformation, a non-pragmatic actuality, or by the skillful sabotage of our buddy and former editor. You may, nonetheless, nonetheless get mad at me on Twitter or on BlueSky.



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