The 2025 BNP Paribas Open ultimate is about, and it’s a showdown few predicted initially of the match.
Jack Draper shocked two-time defending champion Carlos Alcaraz in a rollercoaster semifinal, whereas Holger Rune outsmarted Daniil Medvedev with a masterclass in ways and composure.
Each gamers produced assertion wins to succeed in the most important ultimate of their careers and can now battle for his or her first ATP Masters 1000 title in Indian Wells on Sunday.
The recap, stats and highlights from each semis are beneath.
Day Eleven 2025 BNP Paribas Open Semi-Remaining Outcomes
Winner
Loser
Scoreline
Holger Rune (12)
Daniil Medvedev (5)
7-5 6-4
Jack Draper (13)
Carlos Alcaraz (2)
6-1 0-6 6-4
Rune Slices and Dices Previous Medvedev

Holger Rune delivered one other composed efficiency in Indian Wells as he comfortably dispatched two-time runner-up Daniil Medvedev 7-5 6-4.
The Dane got here armed with a transparent tactical plan, mixing selection and endurance from the baseline, making use of loads of air to his pictures to remain within the factors and utilizing slices to frustrate Medvedev and attain his first ATP Masters 1000 ultimate since Paris 2022.
Pre-match, I believed it will be Medvedev who prompted Rune to interrupt away from any tactical plan he had and go for low-percentage pictures, however the roles had been utterly reversed.
Medvedev had no solutions from the again of the courtroom, couldn’t hit by way of Rune and was pushed into making errors.
We had been spoiled for a few years watching Federer’s capacity within the forecourt, so I used to be tremendous upset with how Medvedev struggled in that space. When he’s 10 ft behind the baseline, he’s an absolute beast, however get him up close to the service line, and he’s outdoors the High 500.
Rune’s slice isn’t a standout shot; these had been simply gradual, floated balls that weren’t notably low or tough, but Medvedev couldn’t do something with them.
I used to be, nevertheless, impressed with how Rune executed the plan; it was drilled into him pre-match and labored flawlessly. He by no means regarded in a lot hassle; his pace acquired him to each ball simply, and understanding he might float the ball again in and get to the following gave him confidence.
Traditionally, he’s misplaced fairly just a few matches from making horrible choices. I distinctly bear in mind his match vs Wawrinka in Indian Wells a few years in the past, the place he performed some terrible pictures on the finish of the third set, however there was none of that right here, and if he can sustain any such composed play, then the clay needs to be a superb stretch for him.
It means the whole lot. The job shouldn’t be over but, nevertheless it feels superb. Taking part in Daniil is among the hardest challenges for me on Tour. I managed to beat him the primary time [we played], however we all know one another effectively. I clearly had the proper ways, nevertheless it was nonetheless so tough as a result of he places in nice effort and is tremendous strong. So, I’m very happy with myself. It’s about discovering the proper tempo, and fortuitously I’ve acquired good leg work, so I can attain many balls. It’s a really particular tactical plan that I made with my coach yesterday night and this morning. It’s about discovering the proper tempo and which pictures to hit, as a result of so many gamers miss too many pictures towards Daniil. He makes you go for extra, so I’m tremendous proud that I managed to search out the proper rhythm. Rune on his win.
Match Stats
Holger Rune
Daniil Medvedev
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
0
1st Serve Proportion
67%
50%
1st Serve Factors Gained
72% (34/47)
67% (20/30)
2nd Serve Factors Gained
61% (14/23)
53% (16/30)
Break Factors Saved
50% (1/2)
25% (1/4)
1st Return Factors Gained
33% (10/30)
28% (13/47)
2nd Return Factors Gained
47% (14/30)
39% (9/23)
Break Factors Transformed
75% (3/4)
50% (1/2)
Winners
20
16
Unforced Errors
28
27
Web Factors Gained
70% (7/10)
77% (10/13)
Max Factors In Row
69% (48/70)
60% (36/60)
Service Factors Gained
40% (24/60)
31% (22/70)
Return Factors Gained
55% (72/130)
45% (58/130)
Whole Factors Gained
55% (72/130)
45% (58/130)
Service Video games Gained
91% (10/11)
73% (8/11)
Return Video games Gained
27% (3/11)
9% (1/11)
Whole Video games Gained
59% (13/22)
41% (9/22)
Draper Downs Defending Champion Alcaraz

Within the day’s second semi-final, Jack Draper ended Carlos Alcaraz’s 16-match profitable streak in Indian Wells, pulling off a 6-1, 0-6, 6-4 upset to succeed in his first ATP Masters 1000 ultimate.
With the win, Draper will break into the High 10 within the ATP Rankings for the primary time, climbing to No. 8, and his sport is an actual handful, particularly in a majority of these circumstances.
That heavy, lefty topspin forehand does quite a lot of injury, and Alcaraz didn’t discover a technique to counter it. Pre-match, I believed it will be shut, as in all 4 of their earlier matches, Draper has prompted Alcaraz issues, however I believed Carlos’s pace and skill to rise up the courtroom would show the distinction.
Nevertheless, Alcaraz regarded very flat from the outset. Simply watching his break up step, there wasn’t that typical bounce or vast base in his sport that lets him play just like the energizer bunny. Nerves? Simply a kind of days? Over 5, he would possibly have the ability to discover a means, however the very best of three doesn’t offer you any wiggle room.
Draper took full benefit of that within the opener, and though he went off the boil within the second, he was the stronger participant within the third.
Did the “not up” name make a distinction? I don’t suppose so.
It was an odd match in all honesty. Carlos got here out a bit flat, I sensed that. I had an opportunity within the first sport of the second, and he got here up with an ace. What occurred to him occurred to me, I acquired tight, I had low vitality. In opposition to the highest gamers on the earth, they’ll change their momentum in a short time. I acquired misplaced on the market for 25 minutes, however within the third, I used to be actually happy with my competitiveness, my angle and I one way or the other managed to recover from the road. Draper on the match.
Match Stats
Jack Draper
Carlos Alcaraz
Aces
4
3
Double Faults
2
4
1st Serve Proportion
68%
56%
1st Serve Factors Gained
64% (30/47)
64% (25/39)
2nd Serve Factors Gained
50% (11/22)
45% (14/31)
Break Factors Saved
56% (5/9)
20% (1/5)
1st Return Factors Gained
36% (14/39)
36% (17/47)
2nd Return Factors Gained
55% (17/31)
50% (11/22)
Break Factors Transformed
80% (4/5)
44% (4/9)
Winners
13
26
Unforced Errors
24
30
Web Factors Gained
75% (6/8)
72% (13/18)
Max Factors In Row
59% (41/69)
56% (39/70)
Service Factors Gained
44% (31/70)
41% (28/69)
Return Factors Gained
52% (72/139)
48% (67/139)
Whole Factors Gained
52% (72/139)
48% (67/139)
Service Video games Gained
67% (8/12)
64% (7/11)
Return Video games Gained
36% (4/11)
33% (4/12)
Whole Video games Gained
52% (12/23)
48% (11/23)
Highlights
Indian Wells 2025 Remaining

Holger Rune (12) vs Jack Draper (13)
Who’s the 2025 Indian Wells champion going to be?