NFL Week 6 picks, schedule, odds, injuries, fantasy tips

NFL Nation, ESPNOct 11, 2024, 06:25 AM ET

The Week 6 NFL schedule for the 2024 season is stacked with nice matchups, and we have got you coated with what it’s essential know heading into the weekend.

Our NFL Nation reporters carry us the largest keys to each recreation, and analytics author Seth Walder makes a daring prediction for every matchup. The ESPN Analysis crew supplies a giant stat to know and a betting nugget for every contest, whereas our Soccer Energy Index (FPI) goes contained in the numbers with a recreation projection. Fantasy analyst Eric Moody finds fantasy soccer X components, and three analysts — Kalyn Kahler, Moody and Walder — give us last rating picks for each recreation. Every thing you need to know is right here in a single spot that will help you prepare for a loaded weekend of NFL soccer.

Let’s get into the complete Week 6 slate, together with Patriots quarterback Drake Maye making his NFL beginning debut towards the Texans and the Lions visiting the Cowboys. All of it culminates with a “Monday Evening Soccer” matchup between the Payments and the Jets on ESPN. (Recreation instances are Sunday until in any other case famous.)

Thursday: SF 36, SEA 24Byes: KC, LAR, MIA, MIN

9:30 a.m. ET | NFL Community | ESPN BET: CHI -1.5 (44.5 O/U)

Jaguars storyline to observe: This would be the first of the Jaguars’ back-to-back video games in London (Jacksonville performs New England on Oct. 20 at Wembley Stadium). The Jaguars have received three of their previous 4 video games abroad and swept their back-to-back video games in London final season (Atlanta and Buffalo). The expertise of enjoying yearly within the UK may actually be a bonus, particularly towards a crew with a rookie QB in Caleb Williams. “Simply having the expertise of going over there, you sort of know how you can deal with it, you already know what to anticipate, you understand how you are going to really feel,” QB Trevor Lawrence stated. — Mike Dirocco

Bears storyline to observe: For a crew that has traditionally been constructed on protection and a ground-and-pound dashing assault, it is laborious to consider Chicago tied its longest streak over the previous 30 years when the Bears rushed for a number of touchdowns in two straight video games towards the Rams and Panthers. Their final streak of three straight a number of dashing landing video games was in 1990, and the best way D’Andre Swift has been enjoying could lead on Chicago so as to add one other towards the Jaguars. Swift has notched over 100 scrimmage yards in back-to-back weeks, which is tied for the longest streak of his profession. — Courtney Cronin

Stat to know: The Jaguars are 1-12 versus NFC North opponents relationship to 2012. Their solely win was over the Bears in October 2016.

Daring prediction: Lawrence will document an under-40 QBR. The Bears’ cross protection has been glorious as Chicago ranks first in EPA per dropback and second in cross rush win price. — Walder

Accidents: Jaguars | Bears

Fantasy X issue: Bears WR DJ Moore. Williams had his finest recreation of the season final week. Moore benefited with eight targets and a season-high 27.5 fantasy factors. Jacksonville’s protection provides up essentially the most fantasy factors per recreation to extensive receivers, so Moore may very well be in for an additional massive day. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: That is the primary time the Bears have been favored in a recreation exterior of Chicago since 2021 (-2.5 at Lions in Week 12). Learn extra.

Kahler’s choose: Bears 24, Jags 21Moody’s choose: Bears 27, Jaguars 24Walder’s choose: Bears 24, Jaguars 17FPI prediction: CHI, 59.0% (by a median of three.7 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Three areas the place the Jaguars improved in Week 5 … Bears QB Williams taking management

Why Fulghum expects a giant recreation from DJ Moore

Tyler Fulghum explains why he is taking DJ Moore to have 60+ receiving yards within the Bears’ Week 6 matchup vs. the Jaguars.

1 p.m. ET | Fox | ESPN BET: GB -4.5 (47.5 O/U)

Cardinals storyline to observe: Kyler Murray leads all quarterbacks in yards per rush with a median of 10.7 — no different quarterback is averaging greater than 7.3. For Arizona to enter Lambeau Subject and depart with a win, Murray’s legs must be an element — not the issue, however an element — towards a Packers protection that is giving up 4.4 yards per carry, which is sixteenth within the league. — Josh Weinfuss

Packers storyline to observe: QB Jordan Love has already thrown 5 interceptions, tied for fourth most within the league, regardless of enjoying in solely three video games. He began this fashion final season, too, with 10 interceptions in his first 9 video games earlier than throwing only one within the last eight video games. The Cardinals’ protection is tied for eighth in interceptions this season with 4. — Rob Demovsky

Stat to know: Murray is finishing 65.4% when pressured, which is second within the NFL behind Jayden Daniels (67.9%).

Daring prediction: Packers WR Dontayvion Wicks will document five-plus receptions. Wicks has a 15 catch rating, which is simply horrible. However I do not suppose he’ll play wherever close to that degree going ahead — he had a 64 catch rating final 12 months. In different phrases, he is getting open however he simply must carry the ball in to get these reception totals up. And I feel he’ll Sunday. — Walder

Accidents: Cardinals | Packers

Fantasy X issue: Packers RB Josh Jacobs. The Cardinals’ secondary has been surprisingly robust, however that is nonetheless an important spot for Jacobs. He is coming off his finest efficiency of the 12 months — 16.4 fantasy factors towards the Rams. The Cardinals’ protection permits the eighth-most fantasy factors per recreation to working backs, and Jacobs has averaged 19.6 touches per recreation. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Packers are 3-0 outright and ATS towards groups with shedding data. Learn extra.

Kahler’s choose: Packers 30, Cardinals 28Moody’s choose: Packers 34, Cardinals 27Walder’s choose: Packers 29, Cardinals 23FPI prediction: GB, 61.7% (by a median of 4.4 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Cardinals RG Hernandez (knee) achieved for season … Packers TE Kraft places DBs on discover

1 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: TEN -2.5 (43.5 O/U)

Colts storyline to observe: It is a matchup that includes the stingiest and most porous defenses within the NFL, in accordance with yards per recreation. The Titans have allowed a league-low 243.8 yards per recreation behind a revamped unit. The Colts, in the meantime, are yielding a league-high 419.2 yards and are coming off a loss by which they gave up a season-high 37 factors to the Jaguars. Indianapolis is hoping to make some strides this week with the potential returns of DE Kwity Paye (quad) and CB Kenny Moore II (hip), however former Professional Bowl DT DeForest Buckner (ankle) stays on injured reserve. His absence continues to be felt. — Stephen Holder

Titans storyline to observe: The Titans’ offensive line has proved to be considerably higher at run blocking than cross safety. Search for the Titans to work the dashing assault towards a Colts run protection that’s permitting 157 yards per recreation. That would be the case no matter whether or not QB Will Levis is ready to play by a proper shoulder harm. Titans LG Peter Skoronski is not taking the matchup flippantly, “It is not like they’re getting gashed in loads of methods, it is nonetheless an enormous problem. These guys are actually bodily and quick.” — Turron Davenport

Stat to know: The Titans have received eight straight video games following their bye, which is the second-longest energetic streak within the NFL.

Editor’s Picks

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Daring prediction: Colts WR Adonai Mitchell could have 60-plus receiving yards. There is a massive recreation coming for him, it is only a matter of when. The rookie wideout has a 71 open rating and with Michael Pittman Jr.(again) and Josh Downs (toe) banged up, this may very well be the week. — Walder

Accidents: Colts | Titans

Fantasy X issue: Titans RB Tony Pollard. Pollard is likely one of the few Titans you may confidently begin. He has been excellent, scoring 15 or extra fantasy factors in three of his 4 video games. Pollard has seen 19 or extra touches in three of these video games. Popping out of the Titans’ Week 5 bye, he has an important matchup towards a Colts protection that permits the fourth-most dashing yards and fifth-most receiving yards to working backs. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Colts are 4-1 ATS this season with three straight covers. Learn extra.

Kahler’s choose: Colts 24, Titans 21Moody’s choose: Colts 33, Titans 30Walder’s choose: Titans 20, Colts 17FPI prediction: IND, 52.5% (by a median of 0.7 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Three issues the Titans want from QB Levis … Colts want WR Pierce extra concerned … Titans DT Simmons again from ligament harm

1 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: HOU -6.5 (38.5 O/U)

Texans storyline to observe: This would be the second time the Texans face a rookie quarterback this season. Houston beat the Bears and QB Caleb Williams in Week 2; he completed 23-of-37 passing for 174 yards with two interceptions and was sacked seven instances. Coach DeMeco Ryans stated, “We’ll play our protection. It will not change,” in regard to game-planning for Drake Maye, who received the nod this week. — DJ Bien-Aime

Patriots storyline to observe: Maye, the No. 3 choose, is about to make his first profession begin. Texans QB C.J. Stroud complimented Maye this week citing his versatility and accuracy. The Patriots have a 7-0 all-time document towards the Texans at Gillette Stadium (5-0 common season, 2-0 postseason). — Mike Reiss

Stat to know: The Texans are 0-7 all time on the street versus the Patriots, together with the playoffs, which is their second-most losses with no street win towards a single opponent. They’re 0-8 towards the Ravens.

Daring prediction: Maye will rush for a landing. Maye ran for 574 yards (sacks excluded) final season at UNC, and he would possibly discover it is a extra dependable piece of his recreation to translate immediately. Houston will in all probability nonetheless win massive, however not less than it is going to be good for Maye’s fantasy managers. — Walder

Accidents: Texans | Patriots

Fantasy X issue: Texans WR Tank Dell. Dell ought to see extra motion with Nico Collins (hamstring) on injured reserve. Dell has had a sluggish begin this season, with just one recreation of 10 or extra fantasy factors. However final season, he posted 4 video games of 20 or extra fantasy factors earlier than a damaged fibula minimize his rookie season quick after 11 video games. Dell must be busy towards the Patriots. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: Underdogs of not less than six factors are 15-2 ATS this season (10-7 outright). Learn extra.

Kahler’s choose: Texans 33, Patriots 14Moody’s choose: Texans 27, Patriots 13Walder’s choose: Texans 26, Patriots 10FPI prediction: HOU, 70.1% (by a median of seven.9 factors)

Matchup must-reads: How can QB Maye assist Patriots? … How Texans navigate lack of WR Collins

1 p.m. ET | Fox | ESPN BET: TB -3.5 (41.5 O/U)

Buccaneers storyline to observe: After a heartbreaking additional time loss to the Falcons, the Bucs are attempting to keep away from an 0-2 divisional begin. In accordance with ESPN Analysis, solely 5 groups that began their seasons 0-2 within the divisions have received them for the reason that present format was put in in 2002. And within the larger scheme of issues, they have a neighborhood reeling from not solely Hurricane Helene however now Hurricane Milton, and as extensive receiver Mike Evans stated, “We’re not even simply enjoying for simply soccer now. We’re making an attempt to play for one thing a bit bit larger.” — Jenna Laine

Saints storyline to observe: The Saints will probably be beginning a quarterback with no expertise after Derek Carr injured his indirect towards the Chiefs on Monday, as rookie Spencer Rattler will get the nod with two video games scheduled on quick weeks. Enjoying backups is sort of regular for the Saints now. They began three QBs after Jameis Winston was harm in 2021 and went with Andy Dalton after Winston was harm in 2022. Carr left for 3 video games final season due to accidents, and the Saints had been 0-3 in these video games. — Katherine Terrell

Stat to know: A loss for the Saints will mark their longest shedding streak (4) since shedding 5 straight in 2021.

Daring prediction: Saints WR Rashid Shaheed will probably be held to beneath 20 receiving yards. Final season at South Carolina, Rattler averaged simply 6.9 air yards per cross try, which ranked 113th out of 125 certified FBS quarterbacks. That does not bode effectively for Shaheed. — Walder

Accidents: Buccaneers | Saints

Fantasy X issue: Saints RB Alvin Kamara. With Rattler set to make his NFL debut, the Saints can be sensible to lean closely on Kamara, who’s harmful working between the tackles and catching passes. The Buccaneers’ protection provides up the sixth-most receptions and the third-most receiving yards to working backs. Kamara must be a key a part of New Orleans’ recreation plan. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Buccaneers are 8-2 ATS of their previous 10 video games as underdogs. Learn extra.

Kahler’s choose: Buccaneers 24, Saints 14Moody’s choose: Buccaneers 21 Saints 20Walder’s choose: Buccaneers 26, Saints 16FPI prediction: TB, 59.8% (by a median of three.8 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Mike Evans: Bucs enjoying for one thing ‘larger’ … What to find out about Saints rookie QB Rattler … Bucs face troublesome slate

Saints coach Dennis Allen: Spencer Rattler provides us finest likelihood to win

Saints head coach Dennis Allen explains why rookie Spencer Rattler is getting the beginning vs. the Buccaneers with starter Derek Carr injured.

1 p.m. ET | Fox | ESPN BET: PHI -10 (42.5 O/U)

Browns storyline to observe: The Browns are off to a traditionally dangerous begin on offense. They’ve scored beneath 20 factors in all 5 video games this season, their longest streak to start out a season since 1999, regardless of all of their opponents rating within the backside half of the NFL in EPA per play. With no sweeping adjustments anticipated — Cleveland is sticking with QB Deshaun Watson and coach Kevin Stefanski is conserving playcalling duties — can the Browns discover an id towards an Eagles protection that ranks Twenty sixth in EPA per play? — Daniel Oyefusi

Eagles storyline to observe: WR A.J. Brown (hamstring) is predicted to play for the primary time since Week 1. The Eagles scored 34 factors within the opener towards the Packers. Within the three video games with out Brown, they averaged 17 factors. With RT Lane Johnson and WR DeVonta Smith additionally anticipated to be again this week from concussions, Philadelphia must be near full well being. — Tim McManus

Stat to know: Watson has a 21 whole QBR this season, which is the fourth-worst whole QBR in crew’s first 5 video games of the season amongst 480 QBs to start out all 5 video games since ESPN launched the metric in 2006.

Daring prediction: Eagles QB Jalen Hurts will throw three or extra touchdowns. With Brown and Smith returning and Philadelphia coming off a bye, I feel the Eagles’ passing recreation goes to search out its rhythm towards the single-high heavy Browns. — Walder

Accidents: Browns | Eagles

Fantasy X issue: Browns WR Amari Cooper. Cooper has seen loads of targets, however the fantasy factors have not adopted. He has had eight or extra targets in each recreation, but managed solely 10 or extra fantasy factors in two. This has made Cooper a boom-or-bust possibility. The excellent news? He faces an Eagles protection that has allowed the fourth-most fantasy factors per recreation to extensive receivers. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Eagles are 1-6 ATS of their previous seven video games as favorites. Learn extra.

Kahler’s choose: Eagles 28, Browns 17Moody’s choose: Eagles 31, Browns 19Walder’s choose: Eagles 31, Browns 20FPI prediction: PHI, 69.5% (by a median of 8.0 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Stefanski: Sticking with Watson at QB … Sirianni, Eagles going through key stretch … What QB Watson’s first 17 video games in Cleveland have proven

1 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: BAL -6.5 (51.5 O/U)

Commanders storyline to observe: Washington’s run protection ranks thirty first in yards per carry allowed (5.1) and twenty second in yards per recreation (130.0). The Commanders are coming off their finest exhibiting, permitting solely 104 yards versus the Browns — however Cleveland is much from the Ravens in terms of dashing the ball. Baltimore ranks first in yards per rush (6.1) and dashing yards per recreation (211.2), because of the NFL’s main rusher in RB Derrick Henry and QB Lamar Jackson. The Commanders have allowed an NFL-worst 24 carries of 10-plus yards, whereas the Ravens personal essentially the most such carries (28). — John Keim

Ravens storyline to observe: The struggling Ravens’ protection, which has allowed the seventh-most factors per recreation this season (25.2), faces QB Jayden Daniels and the highest-scoring crew within the NFL (31.0). However Baltimore has traditionally dominated younger quarterbacks. Since John Harbaugh grew to become coach in 2008, the Ravens are 23-7 (.767) towards rookie beginning quarterbacks, which trails solely the Steelers (24-5). Baltimore prides itself on the way it disguises coverages, which may maintain a first-year quarterback off-balance. “He undoubtedly hasn’t seen a protection like ours,” center linebacker Roquan Smith stated. — Jamison Hensley

Stat to know: This would be the third beginning QB matchup since 1950 between the reigning Heisman trophy winner and reigning MVP. (The others had been Joe Burrow towards Jackson in 2020, and Jim Plunkett versus John Brodie in 1971).

Observe the NFL all season lengthy

• Full schedule » | Standings »• Depth charts for each crew »• Transactions » | Accidents »• Soccer Energy Index »• Playoff image projections »Extra NFL protection »

Daring prediction: Not less than 62 factors will probably be scored, clearing the present ESPN BET whole by 10 factors. These are two red-hot offenses — they rank first and second in each EPA per dropback and EPA per designed carry — going towards bottom-half defenses (not less than up to now). It must be a factors bonanza. — Walder

Accidents: Commanders | Ravens

Fantasy X issue: Commanders WR Terry McLaurin. McLaurin and Daniels have lastly discovered their rhythm. McLaurin has scored 13 or extra fantasy factors in three straight video games, with two of these passing 18 factors. He has racked up 24 targets throughout that span. This week, McLaurin faces a Ravens protection that permits the eighth-most fantasy factors per recreation to extensive receivers. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Commanders have received their previous two video games as underdogs (plus-7.5 at Bengals, plus-3.5 at Cardinals). Learn extra.

Kahler’s choose: Commanders 31, Ravens 28Moody’s choose: Ravens 38, Commanders 24Walder’s choose: Ravens 42, Commanders 24FPI prediction: BAL, 64.3% (by a median of 6.0 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Daniels retains up ‘superman’ act towards Browns … How Lamar’s unbelievable TD powered Ravens previous Bengals … Daniels would not like Jackson comparisons

4:05 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: LAC -3 (35.5 O/U)

Chargers storyline to observe: The Chargers have misplaced seven of their previous 10 matchups towards the Broncos and have not received in Denver since 2018. The Chargers are on a two-game skid and have not scored a landing within the second half since Week 1. The Broncos, in the meantime, have the second-best protection in factors allowed per recreation (14.6). — Kris Rhim

Broncos storyline to observe: The Broncos — tied for twenty second in scoring (19.2), twenty eighth in yards per play (4.5), thirty first on third down (24.6%) and Twenty sixth within the purple zone effectivity (43.8%) — get the league’s high scoring protection (permitting 12.5 factors per recreation) because the Chargers are coming off a bye as effectively. The important thing for the Broncos could also be persistence; nothing will probably be straightforward towards Jesse Minter’s protection. QB Bo Nix has not thrown an interception within the Broncos’ three-game win streak; he threw 4 within the two losses to open the season. — Jeff Legwold

Stat to know: The Broncos have essentially the most pressures in NFL since Week 3 (49) and the second-most sacks (15). The 72 factors they’ve allowed this season are their lowest by 5 video games since 2009.

Daring prediction: Broncos CB Riley Moss will document an interception in a second straight recreation. Moss has a goal price of 23%, the best of any nook, with a median of 1.3 yards per protection snap allowed. Opponents flip to Moss as they attempt to keep away from Pat Surtain II, which ought to grant him interception alternatives. — Walder

Accidents: Chargers | Broncos

Fantasy X issue: Chargers RB J.Okay. Dobbins. It is a nice likelihood for Dobbins to get again on observe. The Broncos’ secondary has been robust, holding DK Metcalf, George Pickens, Mike Evans and Garrett Wilson to beneath 50 receiving yards this season. However they are much simpler to run on than cross towards. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: Every of the previous 3 times the Chargers had been street favorites in Denver, the Broncos received outright (2019 to 2021). Learn extra.

Kahler’s choose: Chargers 24, Broncos 21Moody’s choose: Broncos 23, Chargers 20Walder’s choose: Chargers 19, Broncos 16FPI prediction: LAC, 54.4% (by a median of two.0 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Chargers ‘not panicking’ however look to be ‘crisper’ on offense … Nix breakout? What’s subsequent for the rookie QB … Does QB Herbert must cross extra for Chargers to win?

4:05 p.m. ET | CBS | ESPN BET: PIT -3 (36.5 O/U)

Steelers storyline to observe: Coach Mike Tomlin left the door ajar for QB Russell Wilson to be energetic towards the Raiders, however that does not essentially imply he’ll supplant Justin Fields because the starter after going by his first full follow since aggravating his calf harm on Sept. 5. The Steelers, although, want one thing to leap begin their offense after shedding two of three video games largely to sluggish begins. Regardless of enjoying depleted defenses, the Steelers have averaged simply 4.3 factors within the first half in comparison with 16 within the second half. The Raiders’ protection is banged up with high free company acquisition DT Christian Wilkins sidelined indefinitely with a foot harm. — Brooke Pryor

Raiders storyline to observe: The Raiders are in search of a spark, so for the second time in a calendar 12 months, QB Aidan O’Connell finds himself coming off the bench to be the starter. Final season, then-rookie O’Connell supplanted Jimmy Garoppolo. Now, O’Connell is changing Gardner Minshew, who received a good coaching camp battle for the gig. With O’Connell having the larger arm however being considerably much less cell than Minshew, and the Steelers boasting a fearsome cross rush, count on loads of max safety and quick-passing calls. — Paul Gutierrez

Stat to know: The Steelers have allowed a median of 23.5 factors per recreation of their two straight losses after permitting 8.7 factors in three straight wins to start out the season.

Daring prediction: Raiders edge Maxx Crosby will document not less than two sacks. Fields has been higher about avoiding sacks this season, however his 8.1% sack price is larger than common. And Crosby will probably be going through Broderick Jones, who’s a shade under common in cross block win price. — Walder

Accidents: Steelers | Raiders

Fantasy X issue: Steelers RB Najee Harris. Harris is primed for a giant workload towards the Raiders, with Jaylen Warren (knee) uncertain and Cordarrelle Patterson (knee) out. He has averaged solely 10.2 fantasy factors per recreation this season, however he has seen 16 or extra touches in each recreation. Harris ought to discover success towards a Raiders protection that offers up the fifth-most fantasy factors per recreation to working backs. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Raiders have coated 5 straight video games following a loss (2-0 ATS this season). Learn extra.

Kahler’s choose: Steelers 20, Raiders 17Moody’s choose: Steelers 26, Raiders 14Walder’s choose: Steelers 19, Raiders 16FPI prediction: PIT, 56.2% (by a median of two.2 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Pickens says he was unaware of eye black rule … QB O’Connell to start out for the Raiders

Ought to Russell Wilson begin over Justin Fields in Week 6?

Jason McCourty, Dan Orlovsky and Stephen A. Smith break down the Steelers QB scenario after back-to-back losses.

4:25 p.m. ET | Fox | ESPN BET: DET -3 (52.5 O/U)

Lions storyline to observe: A controversial ending to final 12 months’s matchup grew to become a trending subject when Dallas beat Detroit after a possible game-winning 2-point conversion by Lions OL Taylor Decker was negated by an unlawful touching penalty for not reporting as eligible. Nevertheless, Lions edge rusher Aidan Hutchinson stated, “It is final 12 months. We’re on a mission this 12 months and we’re not going to let the previous outline us.” QB Jared Goff additionally emphasised that the Dallas loss is not behind their heads as they put together to face the Cowboys once more, however extra so serving to Detroit safe a victory over Dallas for the primary time since 2013. — Eric Woodyard

Cowboys storyline to observe: Coming into the season, the Cowboys had received 16 straight dwelling video games, which was the second-longest dwelling successful streak in franchise historical past. Then, they misplaced their first two dwelling video games this season, and in the event that they lose a 3rd straight Sunday to the Lions, it can mark their first three-game dwelling shedding streak — with their beginning quarterback — since 2006. The Cowboys misplaced three straight at dwelling in 2020 with out Dak Prescott and in 2010, 2014 (one begin) and 2015 with out Tony Romo. — Todd Archer

Stat to know: After finishing 19 consecutive passes towards the Seahawks in Week 4, Goff may match the longest streak in NFL historical past with six straight towards the Cowboys. Philip Rivers set the document of 25 in 2018.

Daring prediction: Cowboys LB DeMarvion Overshown will lead all gamers in mixed tackles in Week 6. He is the No. 1 participant in my sack projections for the week, and you may see why as he has the Twenty sixth-highest sort out per snap price of any participant within the league. He performed 100% of snaps final week and now faces the run-heavy Lions. — Walder

Accidents: Lions | Cowboys

Fantasy X issue: Lions RB David Montgomery. Via Week 4, the Lions led the league in working again touches. Montgomery has had a dashing landing and put up 15 or extra fantasy factors in each recreation. He ought to proceed to thrive towards a Cowboys protection that offers up the seventh-most fantasy factors per recreation to working backs. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: Prescott has not closed as not less than a three-point dwelling underdog since 2018. Learn extra.

Kahler’s choose: Lions 34, Cowboys 28Moody’s choose: Lions 31, Cowboys 27Walder’s choose: Lions 28, Cowboys 17FPI prediction: DET, 57.2% (by a median of three.0 factors)

Matchup must-reads: WR Williams’ difficult journey to NFL stardom … Dowdle giving hope to Cowboys’ struggling run recreation? … Metropolis of Detroit trolls St. Brown’s brother on social media

4:25 p.m. ET | Fox | ESPN BET: ATL -6 (46.5 O/U)

Falcons storyline to observe: QB Kirk Cousins has thrown a league-high eight touchdowns when not beneath stress in 2024, with no interceptions, however has a league-high 5 interceptions (with no touchdowns) when beneath stress. The Panthers, in the meantime, are twenty ninth within the league in cross rush win price (31.7%). Can Cousins, coming off a franchise-high 509-yard efficiency, proceed to shake off the rust in Charlotte? — Marc Raimondi

Panthers storyline to observe: The Panthers’ protection ranks close to the underside of the league in virtually each main class, and so they aren’t superb offensively, both. However one in all their massive weaknesses, third down effectivity, has an opportunity to enhance. A Carolina crew ranked twenty eighth (28.3%) within the league faces the worst third-down protection (48.5%) in Atlanta. — David Newton

Stat to know: The Falcons have trailed within the last minute of the fourth quarter in all three of their wins this season. They’re the primary crew in NFL historical past to try this inside the first 5 video games.

Better of NFL Nation

• Packers’ McKinney ‘good’ begin• Canales conserving 1-4 Panthers optimistic• Sirianni, Eagles going through key stretch• Will Chargers cross extra?• Texans navigate lack of WR Nico Collins

Daring prediction: Bijan Robinson would be the highest scoring fantasy working again in Week 6, with an influence in each the run and cross recreation. The Panthers’ protection is the treatment to all woes. — Walder

Accidents: Falcons | Panthers

Fantasy X issue: Panthers WR Diontae Johnson. Johnson has an important alternative to bounce again after a quieter Week 5, the place he managed simply six targets and 5.9 fantasy factors. It is price remembering he had 14 targets and put up 26.2 fantasy factors in Week 3, adopted by 13 targets and 21.3 factors in Week 4. The Falcons have given up the eighth-most receptions per recreation to extensive receivers this season. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: Unders are 17-5 in Falcons-Panthers matchups since 2013. Learn extra.

Kahler’s choose: Falcons 21, Panthers 13Moody’s choose: Falcons 35, Panthers 21Walder’s choose: Falcons 34, Panthers 23FPI prediction: ATL, 62.0% (by a median of 5.2 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Cousins-Mooney connection is rising … How coach Canales is conserving 1-4 Panthers optimistic

8:20 p.m. ET | NBC/Peacock | ESPN BET: CIN -3.5 (47.5 O/U)

Bengals storyline to observe: The matchup between Cincinnati’s offense and the Giants protection will dictate the end result. Cincinnati is second within the league in factors per drive and QB Joe Burrow is second in whole QBR (73.6). However up to now three weeks, the Giants have had a really disruptive cross rush (fourth in PRWR (50%), first in sacks per dropback (11.6%), and solely three of their opponents previous 34 drives have had snaps within the purple zone. — Ben Child

Giants storyline to observe: The Giants have received simply one in all their previous 14 prime-time video games with Daniel Jones at quarterback, giving him the worst document of any quarterback in prime time for the reason that 1970 merger (minimal 10 begins). Jones did not appear all that glad listening to about that streak getting into Sunday night time’s matchup with the Bengals. “I feel we have got to win extra video games,” he stated. “You take a look at the previous, over time, we have not received sufficient, interval.” This will probably be yet one more likelihood to shift the narrative in a recreation the place they’re underdogs. — Jordan Raanan

Stat to know: The Bengals are 0-4 all time on street versus the Giants — one in all two franchises they’ve by no means defeated on the street (Vikings 0-6).

Daring prediction: The Bengals will rating not less than 34 factors. Regardless of their 1-4 document, Cincinnati’s offense ranks third in EPA per play and Burrow ranks second in QBR — which might be his finest end by far if he can sustain that tempo. I am not apprehensive in regards to the Bengals scoring factors right here. — Walder

Accidents: Bengals | Giants

Fantasy X issue: Giants WR Wan’Dale Robinson. With Malik Nabers nonetheless in concussion protocol, it is unsure whether or not he’ll be cleared to face the Bengals. No matter Nabers’ standing, Robinson ought to stay a key a part of the Giants’ passing recreation. The Bengals’ protection permits the Twelfth-most receptions per recreation to extensive receivers. Robinson has seen eight or extra targets in 4 of his 5 video games this season, making him a dependable possibility. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: Unders are 5-0 in Sunday night time video games this season, 31-10 up to now three seasons and 60-31-2 since 2019. Learn extra.

Kahler’s choose: Bengals 24, Giants 21Moody’s choose: Bengals 30, Giants 27Walder’s choose: Bengals 34, Giants 17FPI prediction: CIN, 60.6% (by a median of 4.1 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Bengals defenders maintain assembly, know ‘we have now to do our half’ … What’s subsequent for RB Tracy after breakout recreation? … Bengals’ revamped protection struggling in 1-4 begin

8:15 p.m. ET | ESPN | ESPN BET: BUF -2.5 (40.5 O/U)

Payments storyline to observe: The massive query for the Payments going into this matchup is that if the offense can flip itself round sufficient to keep away from the crew’s first three recreation shedding streak with Josh Allen beginning — and the crew’s first general since shedding 4 straight in 2018. The Payments are averaging 15 factors per recreation over the crew’s previous two video games after averaging 37.3 factors per recreation within the three-game successful streak to start out the season. There’s a query surrounding the supply of main receiver Khalil Shakir (ankle), who has but to take part in follow and missed final week vs. the Texans. The Payments will want different gamers to step up and help Allen, particularly if Shakir will not be obtainable. — Alaina Getzenberg

Jets storyline to observe: Jeff Ulbrich makes his interim head-coaching debut, inheriting a two-game shedding streak however solely a one-game deficit from the highest of the AFC East. Certainly one of Ulbrich’s objectives is to eradicate the Jets’ popularity as perennially sluggish starters, which plagued them by the Robert Saleh period. This season, they’ve virtually as many penalties within the first quarter (13) as factors (14). Ulbrich, who demoted playcaller Nathaniel Hackett and changed him with Todd Downing, stated the crew will play with a “heightened sense of urgency.” — Wealthy Cimini

Stat to know: The Payments have by no means misplaced three straight video games following a 3-0 begin in franchise historical past. They’ve began 3-0 12 instances.

Looking forward to the 2025 NFL draft

Daring prediction: The Jets will fail to sack Allen. Although Will McDonald IV (6.0 sacks) has been a nice shock, the Jets’ cross rush is missing. It ranks Twenty sixth in cross rush win price. The Jets are outmatched by the Payments’ offensive line (second in cross block win price), and Allen has a sack price beneath 4% this 12 months. — Walder

Accidents: Payments | Jets

Fantasy X issue: Jets RB Breece Corridor. Regardless of scoring 18 or extra fantasy factors in every of his first three video games, Corridor has managed simply 10.5 fantasy factors over the previous two weeks behind an offensive line that ranks twenty seventh in run block win price. Nevertheless, there’s some hope this week as New York faces a Payments protection that offers up essentially the most fantasy factors per recreation to working backs. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: All three Payments street video games this season have gone beneath the full. 4 straight Jets video games have gone beneath the full. Learn extra.

Kahler’s choose: Payments 28, Jets 21Moody’s choose: Payments 24, Jets 19Walder’s choose: Payments 23, Jets 20FPI prediction: BUF, 54.9% (by a median of two.0 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Payments’ offensive mantra — ‘everyone eats’ — being examined … Will firing Saleh resolve Jets’ struggles? … … Jets demote OC Hackett, faucet Todd Downing to name offense

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