Marlins nearer Tanner Scott has already been drawing commerce curiosity for a number of weeks, and Jon Heyman of the New York Submit lists the Yankees, Dodgers, Phillies and Orioles as simply a number of the many groups exhibiting curiosity within the hard-throwing lefty. Will Sammon and Katie Woo of The Athletic steered this morning that Scott might be the following notable identify to be moved — though that doesn’t essentially point out a commerce of Scott is nearing the end line. However the Marlins already confirmed their willingness to behave early on the commerce market once they moved Luis Arraez simply 5 weeks into the season, and energy bullpen arms are among the many most sought-after commodities on the commerce market yearly.
That stated, Scott alone isn’t prone to fetch the Marlins a large haul on his personal. He clearly has commerce worth and will internet some minor league expertise, however the 29-year-old southpaw is in his remaining season of membership management and can attain free company at season’s finish. The Marlins had been prepared to pay down practically all of Arraez’s contract of their commerce with the Padres, and doing so on Scott’s $5.7MM wage may assist to reinforce his enchantment, however there are considerations even past the southpaw’s dwindling membership management.
Command has all the time been a difficulty for the hard-throwing Scott, and 2024 is not any exception. Fairly the alternative, in reality. This yr’s 16.8% stroll price is the very best of Scott’s profession (excepting a 1 2/3-inning debut again in 2017). As famous right here again in late Could, he’s been slowly paring that quantity again since issuing an alarming swath of walks early within the season, however Scott has nonetheless walked 12% of his hitters courting again to Could 1.
That’s not as troubling as a virtually 17% mark, but it surely’s nonetheless three proportion factors increased than the typical reliever — and the hole between that mark and final yr’s career-best 7.8% mark is even wider. Scott has additionally seen his swinging-strike price drop from a mammoth 17.4% in 2023 to 13.5% this yr, whereas his opponents’ chase price on pitches off the plate has fallen from 36.1% to twenty-eight.8% — a potential indicator that he’s lacking by a a lot bigger margin when he’s failing to seek out the strike zone.
To Scott’s credit score, he’s been on an distinctive run of late. He surrendered a walk-off dwelling run to Mets designated hitter J.D. Martinez yesterday, however these two runs had been the primary he’d allowed since April 30. Relationship again to Could 1, Scott has a minuscule 1.17 earned run common and big 32.8% strikeout price in 15 1/3 innings. Total, the lefty touts a 1.93 ERA, 26.1% strikeout price and 52.5% grounder price in 28 innings this yr (along with that bloated 16.8% stroll price). He’s additionally averaging 96.9 mph on his heater.
Scott’s commerce worth would absolutely have been increased within the offseason, when he had a full yr of membership management and was recent off a 33.9% strikeout price and seven.8% stroll price in a career-high 78 innings. However the Marlins made the playoffs final yr, and even after turning over their entrance workplace and largely idling all through the winter, presumably wished to see if the staff may play its approach again into postseason competition. A catastrophic 1-11 begin to the season emphatically answered that query.
The Marlins may probably bundle Scott with one other commerce candidate, similar to coveted starter Jesus Luzardo, and look to extract an enormous bundle by combining two sought-after gamers in a single commerce. They may additionally hope that by transferring Scott early, they will catch lightning in a bottle in the identical method that the Royals did final summer time by transferring Aroldis Chapman in late June — a commerce that netted them present No. 1 starter Cole Ragans. (To be clear, Ragans was seen as a buy-low candidate on the time, and the Royals deserve credit score for utterly turning the previous first-round choose’s profession round.) Hitting that sort of jackpot virtually definitely received’t occur, however that commerce is illustrative of the truth that Miami may probably get some MLB-ready assist in return for Scott — supplied the participant in query is seen as one thing of a mission.
With regard to the groups linked to Scott, any of the bunch is a wise goal. The Yankees load up on bullpen arms each deadline they’re in competition, they usually’ve frequently proven an affinity for ground-ball pitchers and energy lefties. Scott checks each bins. The Orioles know Scott higher than any staff within the sport, having initially drafted and developed him — solely to commerce him to Miami in a deal they’d prefer to take again (Kevin Guerrero and Antonio Velez went to Baltimore within the deal). Phillies president of baseball operations Dave Dombrowski is all the time intrigued by high-end velocity and doesn’t want a lot assist in the rotation proper now, making a deeper bullpen a logical focus. The Dodgers have a number of notable relievers on the injured checklist in the intervening time (Brusdar Graterol, Joe Kelly, Ryan Brasier) and lack any such flamethrowing left-handed presence of their present bullpen.
There’s some overlap between the golf equipment eyeing Scott and people reportedly eyeing White Sox nearer Michael Kopech, which is simply pure. Playoff hopefuls all the time look to beef up the aid corps across the commerce deadline, and with so few sellers available on the market in the intervening time, the few groups which can be prepared to deal ought to see elevated demand.
